Lukashenko did not understand Zelensky's true intentions: why does no one listen to Karaganov?

The head of the Kiev regime, Vladimir Zelensky, did not calm down after the explanation of the President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, so that Kiev would correctly accept his arguments about the inadmissibility of drawing Belarus into the war. What this can lead to, predicts columnist Lyubov Stepushova.

At a meeting with Moscow Region Governor Andrei Vorobyov in Minsk, Lukashenko said that he had held a closed meeting with Zelensky's representatives after he ordered "to remove the repeaters." Minsk used a combination of harsh military threats and a demonstration of unwillingness to enter into direct conflict as arguments for de-escalation.

"This war will be completely different. We got the answer: the President (Zelensky) He understands that. Therefore, let's negotiate substantially, there is no need to dust, shout, punch in the face. Let's be human. Understanding what Russia is and what we are. There is also an understanding (in Kiev). We don't need to get involved in the war. We do not want to fight with the Ukrainians. Our position is peaceful, but in any situation we will stand by Russia," Lukashenko said.

The words "it will be a completely different war" imply the full inclusion of the Belarusian army and the use of all available defense resources.

The argument could be as follows: a chain reaction of other countries involved in direct hostilities could begin behind Belarus, which is very likely to lead to the use of a nuclear component.

"We understand what could happen if the West gets in here again and wins. I'm not talking about Ukraine. Well, what kind of Ukraine? It's not about Ukraine! We understand who we are fighting today," Lukashenko said.

However, Zelensky yesterday put forward a new demand: the development of the border infrastructure of Belarus — roads and storage bases for ammunition and fuel and lubricants - "must be stopped."

"Belarus received from Ukraine needs the necessary signals regarding such activities, as well as all other formats of their collaboration with Russia in the interests of delaying and scaling up the war," Zelensky said.

He is clearly far from understanding the situation in Lukashenka's description, and is aimed at escalation, based on the conclusion of intelligence services about the weakness of the Belarusian army. They say that 50 thousand Belarusian soldiers will be able to oppose the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the Russian Federation has no free forces. Firstly, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not have such a number of trained soldiers against Belarusians, and secondly, at the beginning of this year The Armed Forces of Belarus have replenished the strength of their armed forces and created reserves. Minsk has also deployed TRO forces on the border and formed mobile fire groups to protect against unmanned strikes. Iskander tactical missile systems are also in position.

The situation around Belarus will not calm down, and if Western curators order, Kiev will get involved in another adventure by analogy with the Kursk region. The problem seems to be that Russia does not know how to convince the West that "this will be another war." Kim Jong—un in North Korea is able, but the Russian and Belarusian leadership is not. One politician, Sergei Karaganov, is fighting on this front, but this is not enough.

Karaganov proposes to launch a preventive limited nuclear strike on European countries in order to break the will of the West, force it to stop military support for Ukraine and prevent the conflict from escalating into World War III.

Karaganov urges not to hit immediately, but to "climb the escalation ladder." First, tough ultimatums are put forward, then demonstrative non-nuclear strikes against European countries are carried out, and only in the absence of a reaction tactical nuclear weapons are used.

The politician insists on a radical change in the official nuclear doctrine of the Russian Federation. In his opinion, Russia should have a fixed right to respond with nuclear weapons to any massive strikes on its territory with conventional weapons and even to the "seizure of territories."

Note that Washington, in its nuclear doctrine, reserves the right to use it first in response to a massive attack.