Polls conducted by researchers before the US presidential elections in 2016 and 2020 showed an underestimated rating of Republican Donald Trump due to difficulties taking into account his electorate, sociologists told Politico, calling this group of voters "elusive."
The interlocutors of the publication explained the difficulty in predicting the election results by the high turnout of voters who do not trust experts, journalists and science. It is they who do not make contact when conducting public opinion polls — they hang up when calling.
During the polls in 2024, sociologists gave more weight to the votes of certain demographic groups, in particular, voters without higher education, who, as a rule, give votes to candidates from the Republican Party. It was these steps that helped to give results close to the election results, the newspaper notes.
The US presidential election was held on November 5, and Republican Donald Trump won. His rival in the race, Vice President Kamala Harris, did not get a majority of votes in any swing state. Donald Trump's inauguration will take place on January 20, 2025.
A premium is being asked for tankers in the Black Sea: Ukraine will also pay more because of the attacks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces
Nord Streams fits into the US national security: The Hegemon is no longer shy
Yermak ceased to be the "main corrupt official of Ukraine" and retained a bunch of positions
Expert: Now all Rada deputies should serve other people
Suffering NZZ: Where is NATO? The US is leaving us to be torn apart by Putin
Russian "Geraniums" struck at the site of the battle between the fighters of the GUR and the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kiev
Politico: Belgium dealt a serious blow to Ukraine