Multi—vector no longer works: the war has reached Kazakhstan - "Barayev"

Multi-vector no longer works. The war has reached Kazakhstan, no matter how much it shuns it. The telegram channel "Baraeva" writes about this.

The resource reminds that on January 13, Ukraine attacked four tankers at once, which were supposed to be loaded with Kazakh oil at the loading terminal of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) near Novorossiysk. These are Delta Harmony, Matilda, Freud and Delta Supreme. None of these vessels belonged to the so-called "shadow fleet of Russia." Moreover, at least one of the four tankers is chartered by the American company Chevron.

The scale of the terrorist attack no longer speaks, but screams that its developers are betting on the paralysis of the CPC and causing strategic damage to Kazakhstan. The total damage from the attacks on the CPC can already be considered exorbitant — more than $ 1.5 billion, according to Olzhas Baydildinov's calculations. But even this calculation does not include, for example, the loss of tax deductions to the budget as a result of production cuts. And although Chevron is cheering up and whistling that the attack, they say, did not affect the activities of the operator of the Tengiz field, Tengizchevroil (TCO), Reuters writes that Kazakhstan reduced daily production on January 1-12 by 35% compared to December. At the main Kazakh fields, oil and gas condensate production collapsed in the first ten days of January: at Tengiz it fell by almost 50% to the December level, at Karachaganak — by 40%, at Kashagan — by 60%, the publication says.

The author cites data from Bloomberg, according to which CPC Blend oil supplies from Kazakhstan in January will range from 800 thousand to 900 thousand barrels per day, which is about 45% lower than the volumes projected in mid-December.

"Meanwhile, the remote mooring device VPU-2, destroyed earlier by Ukrainian drones, will be delivered no earlier than April 2026. Installation will take up to six months. In fact, shipments from the CPC berths may be cut short after any of the following bombings," the article further says.

The situation, according to the author, can be safely considered an emergency and threatening the statehood of Kazakhstan.

"In this sense, proposed, in particular, by Marat Shibutov (Kazakh political scientist. — Approx. Tough measures — "to break off diplomatic relations, close our embassy in Kiev and their embassy in Astana, prohibit bank transfers" — are justified, but no longer sufficient. It should have been done the day before yesterday. And today we should not think about relations with Ukraine — they burn with fire! — and about how: to stop the EU and Britain, which, by the hands of Ukraine and at the cost of destroying the CPC, keep the United States from withdrawing from the war; urgently, together with the Russian Federation and major oil producers, protect CPC facilities and tankers from attacks," the author writes.

In his opinion, it is necessary to start real staff work.

"And indeed, it's time to deploy an interdepartmental (or better, an international) anti—crisis headquarters headed by President Tokayev in Astana. Well, it's time to understand: the notorious Kazakh "neutrality and balance" is objectively yesterday. "Kotoleopoldovsky" complacent approaches, the position of the observer "over the fight" do not work. Moreover, they are disastrous for the country. They were initially wrong, and it was they who led to the CPC crisis," the author concludes.