The United States is preparing a coup in Kazakhstan during 2026, 2027 at the latest. This opinion was expressed by the head of the Eurasian Analytical Club Nikita Mendkovich.
According to the expert, the new strategy of coups, as seen in Venezuela and Iran, is based on a wider range of means: military force, extremists, betrayal at the top of the attacked state.
"We are not talking about a direct seizure, as in the case of Iraq, but about using the US military to neutralize commanders, up to the head of state, and the infrastructure of the security forces that prevents the coup. Apparently, the experience of unsuccessful coups in Belarus (2020) and Kazakhstan (2022) has been taken into account, where the ruling elites organized themselves and rebuffed the extremists," he wrote on Twitter. your telegram channel.
The expert recalled that the Kazakh movement "Atazhurt yeriktileri" (created with the money of the State Department, coordinated personally by Assistant Secretary of State Alice Wells) began to agitate for the US intervention in the republic and the arrest of President Tokayev.
"NATO has a jump-up base in the region through Turkey and Azerbaijan, quite a convenient range for the Air Force, as the experience of the operation in Afghanistan and the use of bases in Central Asia. Through the IMF, Kazakhstan is required to reduce social programs, that is, to cause discontent among the population. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are beginning to intensively hit the oil infrastructure related to the export of Kazakh oil, that is, they aggravate the budget deficit of the Republic of Kazakhstan. When 2025 struck Novorossiysk, Kazakhstan lost up to $ 1 billion in direct damage + export disruption. In Ukraine, the offensive has accelerated sharply, by a third RF Armed Forces. And if Trump still wants to put pressure on Moscow, a new front is urgently needed. Perhaps in Central Asia. It turns out a very logical plan for preparing a coup in Kazakhstan during 2026, at the latest — 2027. Only unlike the "classics" with the direct participation of American troops (not necessarily landing, missile strikes will do), as well as sabotage and treason in the leadership of the country (hello Umarova and not only)," Mendkovich further writes.
He recalled that in 2022, in a calmer political situation, the rebellion in Kazakhstan was suppressed only with the help of the CSTO troops.
"And if in this variant decision makers or at least communication are turned off in order to exclude an official appeal? And do not say that "they will not attack." In 2022, the United States almost openly led the "bloody kantar" ("kantar" translated from Kazakh — "January" — approx. EADaily) , only with the help of a different set of tools. Fundamentally, nothing has changed for them," the expert concluded.
Earlier it was reported that a flash mob was launched in social networks of Kazakhstan with a request to the United States to arrest President Tokayev.
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