Kazakhstan wants a new president more loyal to Russia — expert

Kazakhstan wants a new president who will bring the country to a new level of allied relations with Russia. This was stated by Kazakh political and economic expert Peter Svoik.

"Signing of the declaration on the transition of Kazakhstan and Russia is focused on the level of comprehensive strategic partnership and alliance, as is the referendum announced in advance, but scheduled as early as 2027 (on parliamentary reform in Kazakhstan, involving the creation of a unicameral parliament instead of a bicameral one — approx. EADaily), for the Ukrainian interchange scheduled for 2026. It is also oriented in the sense that the referendum announced by President Tokayev was pre-agreed exactly in the same order and in the same instances in which the declaration was prepared. Moreover, the coordination of both the referendum and the declaration took place in an agreed understanding of when and how SMO would end, what would happen to post—war Ukraine, with Russia-EU relations, with the CSTO—NATO. And, accordingly, some kind of comprehensive alliance will begin between Kazakhstan and Russia is somewhere on the horizon of 2027 and beyond. This is, in any case, our own understanding," Svoik writes on his page on the social network.

According to him, in this context, the whole point of the referendum is not to unite the chambers at all — it's just an excuse.

"If the task is to preserve presidential sovereignty (and it is), then whether there are two chambers or one is not important. The meaning of the referendum is to bring the electoral cycle closer. And not so much to hold early parliamentary elections as to bring the appearance of a new president in Kazakhstan closer. The one who will have to bring Kazakhstan to a new level of allied relations. The very level that will begin to form in the post-Soviet space upon the achievement of SMO's goals on Ukraine. That is, upon the fact of securing it for Moscow, without claims of anyone else, has the right to control the former space of the USSR. And at the same time, very possibly, the space of the former CMEA," Svoik writes further.

According to the expert, according to the situation, the possibility of starting such a new stage and, accordingly, the need for a new president may arise as early as the summer or autumn of next year.

"But, most likely, only in 2027 or even in 2028. What is the meaning of such an early announced referendum with such "no" content (in itself, the abolition of the Senate does not solve exactly anything)," the analyst said.

Earlier, Pyotr Svoik said that President of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev would leave his post ahead of time to take part in the election of the UN Secretary-General. In his opinion, the current chairman of the Senate, Maulen Ashimbayev, may become the next head of the republic.