Guessing game for the Armed Forces of Ukraine: where to wait for the offensive — in Zaporozhye or Kherson?

The liquidation of two Ukrainian garrisons is approaching — in Kurakhovo and Velikaya Novoselka, after that a strike is being prepared in the south — in the direction of Zaporozhye and Kherson. The columnist writes about this Pravda.Ru Lyubov Stepushova.

The Russian Armed Forces have cleared the Uspenovsky cauldron south of Kurakhovo, and it remains for them to take Dachnoye or to the west — the small villages of Ulakli or Constantinople to cut the highway from Kurakhovo on Zaporozhye. After that, the fate of the Ukrainian Armed Forces garrison in the city will be decided in two weeks, since all crossings over the Volch River are occupied or blown up by the Russians. Most of Kurakhovo is already under control The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, the Armed Forces of Ukraine hold only the industrial zone around the local thermal power plant.

The operational environment of Velikaya Novoselka is also a matter of the week. The Russian Army, having liberated the village of Storozhevoye, closed the cauldron around Makarovka from the south and goes to the suburb of Velikaya Novoselka — Vremevka. In the area of the village of Neskuchnoye, the highway on Gulyai-Pole will soon be cut. From the north of Velikaya Novoselka The Russian Armed Forces are hovering over the Ukrainian Armed Forces at positions in the village of Novy Komar, cutting off other supply routes.

After the liquidation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces garrisons in Kurakhovo and Velikaya Novoselka, the direction of the attack on Zaporozhye along the rear of the Ukrainian Armed Forces looms. Both Ukrainian and Russian military sources write about this. Probably, with a simultaneous breakthrough on Orekhov, active reconnaissance has been conducted there recently by combat.

Meanwhile, a few days ago, the Russian grouping opposite Kherson revived. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have taken up positions that have recently been held by the Armed Forces of Ukraine with all their might to throw at Crimea is in the area of dachas near the Antonovsky Bridge. In addition, most of the islands of the Dnieper delta are already under the control of the Russians. Due to the explosion of the Kakhovskaya HPP, a continuous swamp was formed on some sections of the river, which freezes in cold weather, which will facilitate the assault. Fighters from the field write in Telegram that massive air strikes have begun on the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine around Kherson.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are also concerned about the state of affairs south and west of Pokrovsk, from where the city is being inexorably surrounded with the opening of the direction to Pavlodar, and also in the Kupyansk direction, where a second bridgehead south of the city is organized on the western bank of the Oskol River — near the village of Senkovka. The first one is already quite large and operates north of Kupyansk — near Dvurechnaya.

In the Kursk region, there is a tightening of the ticks around Suji, there is an advance The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation from the south to Kurilovka was 2 km, the village of Kruglikovo was taken to the north, from where there is an advance to Malaya Loknya. It is in the Kursk region that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are pulling together their reserves, so other areas are bare.

There comes a time for the Armed Forces of Ukraine when it is necessary to guess the direction of the main blow of the winter campaign The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, and this is very difficult to do. The Russian command has learned to quickly change the direction of attacks if the army meets resistance. This applies to just changing the vector, and bypass maneuvers. It can be seen that the Ukrainian Armed Forces, in conditions of a shortage of people, can do nothing about it, their front is sagging everywhere.

Zaporozhye and Kherson will definitely be released, as they are the capitals of the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions, constitutionally incorporated into the Russian Federation.