Magyar's victory is Russia's loss, but there are nuances

In Hungary, the party of Prime Minister Viktor Orban defeated the opposition, which cannot be explained by interference in the elections. This would seem to be a very bad outcome for Russia, but there is a nuance, writes columnist Lyubov Stepushova

After working out almost 90% of the votes in the Hungarian elections, the opposition Tisa party retains a constitutional majority — 138 mandates. Orban admitted defeat and said that the election results were "understandable and painful" for Fidesz. He added that the party will continue to serve the motherland and the nation while in opposition.

When the gap between rivals reaches 30%, it is difficult to talk about interference in elections. The reasons for Orban's defeat are as follows.

1. Objectively, Hungarians began to live worse, despite the lowest utility bills in Europe. 34 billion euros, blocked in the funds of the European Union, turned out to be more important for voters to have than discounts on energy from Russia. The total amount of frozen funds is approximately 8-11% of Hungary's GDP, which puts serious pressure on the national economy.

2. Donald Trump's support of Orban turned out to be toxic for Hungarians as Europeans for obvious reasons — the imposition of unprofitable agreements, dialogue on threats and accusations, direct insults to heads of government, direct interference in elections by campaigning for Orban.

3. The publication of recordings of conversations of senior Hungarian officials, including Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto, who pointed to close ties with the Russian leadership, played a role. Recall that Hungary is not a mentally friendly country to Russia, they remember both the alliance with Hitler and 1956 (the suppression of the Hungarian nationalist rebellion by Soviet troops. — Approx. EADaily).

4. Orban was arrogant, it was necessary to prepare a young successor for himself.

The coming to power of Peter Magyar is an extremely unfavorable result for Russia. With Orban's departure, the EU's preparations for a direct military confrontation with Russia will accelerate. The new Hungarian government will give the green light to everything that Brussels dictates, namely, a 90 billion euro loan and a path to the European Union will be opened to Ukraine (by this time Magyar has already stated that he does not support Ukraine's accelerated accession to the EU and will not participate in a loan for Ukraine. — Approx. EADaily). It is doubtful that Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico alone will pull out the resistance, they will break it. More importantly, Hungary will open the way for the supply of weapons to Ukraine across its border, and will allocate money.

Paks NPP will be under attack. If The EU, under pressure from the new Hungarian government, will impose sanctions against the Russian nuclear sector (which Orban did not allow), and the contract will become legally impossible. If Hungary unilaterally stops paying on the loan, then Russia will lose a huge amount in foreign currency, which will be almost impossible to return through the courts in the current conditions.

The new government will refuse Russian oil and gas, it is written in the election program. This, however, is not so important for Russia, perhaps it is necessary to refuse supplies to Hungary, which has become unfriendly (the Magyar has already stated that Hungary will not give up Russian oil. — Approx. EADaily ).

However, relations with the United States have The European Union will deteriorate even more against the background of the election results. Undoubtedly, a conclusion will be drawn about new evidence of the hostility of European elites, and with the lack of support in Iran, Trump may impulsively withdraw from the Ukrainian crisis. He will say, for example, that he has no weapons for Ukraine, and "deal with Russia yourself," and this is beyond the power of Europe.

And this is beyond the power of Europe. In addition, it will be dangerous to carry out robbery in the Baltic, without having American support. On the sidelines, many European politicians are already regretting the removal of Orban's veto, which kept Kiev at arm's length. Now he's in Brussels will cling with a bulldog grip, squeezing the last juices.