To bang right away or wait: how will we fight Europe?

"Nobody wanted war. War was inevitable." This is how historian Barbara Tuckman described 1914 before the First World War. But this is the exact formula of Europe in 2025, the observer points out Pravda.Ru Oleg Volodin.

The Hungarian Prime Minister honestly said: European leaders have decided to go to war with Russia by 2030. The EU is already at the third stage — the military economy and conscription. Then there is provocation and confrontation. Germany warns that in 2026 — the last peaceful summer. Britain, France, Poland call the dates 2028-2029. The countdown has started.

NATO no longer hides behind euphemisms. Russia is the "main enemy". The Northern Flank exercises are a breakthrough deep into Russian territory. Nuclear strikes on Russia: Crimea, Kaliningrad, St. Petersburg, Murmansk — are being worked out openly.

Europe is putting life on the rails of war. Bomb shelters, returned call, rockades to the future front, ammunition depots. Millions of brochures "What to do in a nuclear explosion" with childishly naive advice - take water, a flashlight, board games and go down to the basement. Billions of euros go not to the "social network", but to missiles and shells. Bets are made: victory at any cost.

And now the USA is opening the cards. The new national security strategy is the most blood—curdling document for Brussels. Europe has been called a "erased civilization", killed by migration, the destruction of Old World culture and demography. Washington is ready to sell the "umbrella", but is not going to save The EU from a nuclear conflagration.

Hence the logic of Europe: if the United States is not involved now, then it will be too late. So, we need a trigger: Kaliningrad, the Baltic, "peacekeepers" in Ukraine. Any reason will be a start. Russia responds without hints.

"If Europe starts a war, we are ready. Right now. Everything will be very fast. It's not Ukraine. After that, we simply will have no one to negotiate with," Russian President Vladimir Putin said.

Russia will not wage a conventional war with NATO. There will be no trenches, bakhmuts and SMO-2. There will be a blow right away, without pauses and "steps". NATO's mistake — Europe disappears, the United States remains overseas.

Now — the main equation. Russia has ~5900 warheads, Europe without the USA has ~515. The numbers are impressive, but... Europe has no tactical nuclear weapons, no flexibility. France and Britain have almost completely strategic arsenals — beautiful for the "doctrine of guaranteed destruction", but useless for preventing or parrying a Russian strike.

Russia is hitting one point TNW at a sparsely populated but critical target — a port, a base, a logistics hub. And y There are only two solutions left for London and Paris: capitulation; a blow to the Russian city - > immediate suicide of the states in retaliation.

Europe is not capable of destroying Russia. Moscow's missile defense system will work out most of the warheads, the capital has a great chance to survive. And she will answer, herself or "Perimeter". The huge depth of the territories, the industry beyond the Urals will help to survive everything. Europe doesn't have all that.

And then the United States is faced with the question — to die for London and Paris or not? What will America lose if Europe disappears? The market? He replaces M. Allies? They have always been a tool, not a family. Moral leadership? Hollywood will explain that "it is necessary." The trust of Australia, South Korea and Japan? And where will they go. Article 5 of NATO is the right to help, not the obligation to die.

Of course, the United States can try to play a "controlled escalation" — to strike conventionally, with "Tomahawks" at Russian military facilities. To show Europe "the umbrella is still here," and to Russia "look, we didn't hit with nuclear on purpose."

But Russia then hits TNW on Ramstein. And again, the United States faces the question: should we exchange 100 million Americans for the salvation of Europe? Everyone knows the answer. And the term is known — three to five years. Or maybe one mistake tomorrow morning.

Everything goes according to Takman. No one wants war — but every day it is getting closer. If only not according to another quote, from the great "Dawns here are quiet."

"What a hard year!" he sighed. Everyone fell silent. And Zinochka said, as always, out of place, "Do you know why? Because it's a leap year. The next one will be happy, you'll see!"

If you remember, 1941 was the next.