The White House has high hopes for Donald Trump's first Asian tour of his second cadence as US president. However, there are obvious problems with it. The maximum program for Americans is to try to conclude framework trade deals with China, South Korea, and Brazil. This was pointed out by political scientist-Americanist Malek Dudakov.
"The ASEAN summit in Malaysia may host the first personal meeting between Trump and Brazilian President Lula da Silva. The latter recently officially announced his re-election for a second term. Lula's ratings are not bad, and he may well prevent Bolsonarists with close ties to Trump from returning to power. Moreover, they themselves have not yet decided on a candidate," the expert writes in his telegram channel.
Tariffs of 40% still apply to Brazil, although the United States had to make an exception for many categories of goods. Otherwise, there might be a shortage of, say, orange juice on the American market. Lula is now actively criticizing the escalation around Venezuela and demands that Trump not bring the situation to war. So it will be difficult to agree, Dudakov draws attention.
The White House demands investments of $ 350 billion from South Korea, which Seoul has nowhere to take. But most attention will be focused on the negotiations between the United States and China at the APEC summit. Trump is immediately forced to promise to make concessions and compromises, just to persuade China to supply rare earth metals and buy American soybeans, the political scientist adds.
"The Chinese side, in turn, will put pressure on the Americans in the context of Taiwan. Trump's team has already suspended the allocation of military trenches to the island and canceled the visit of Taiwanese President William Lai to the United States, but such concessions will clearly not be enough. We will have to spin, just to stop more and more crisis consequences of the impasse of trade wars," he concluded.

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