The Kazakh expert explained why Russia does not destroy the energy system of Ukraine

Russia can destroy the entire energy system of Ukraine completely in a short time, but does not do so for a number of reasons. This was stated by the Kazakh expert in the field of politics, economics and energy Peter Svoik.

"The energy system of Ukraine was created at one time with the expectation of — attention! — atomic war. And yet, these are not some kind of underground structures. Everything is above ground, in plain sight. The heart of the power system are not power plants, not even nuclear power plants. The heart is the nodal substations. In Ukraine, these are 700 kilovolt substations. Powerful, large, at very high voltage. If I'm not mistaken, there are no more than ten of them on the territory of Ukraine. And some of them have already moved to another territory. That is, there are maybe six, maybe seven such nodal points left in Ukraine itself," he writes on his page on the social network.

According to the expert, a blow to such a substation is like a blow, if not to the heart, then to the liver and kidneys.

"You won't wake up right away. These nodal substations are the key points of the entire power system. It is clear that they are extremely well protected by air defense. But a pair of "Daggers" that are invulnerable to missile defense is enough. One "Dagger" per substation. That is, technically it is a matter of two or three days: to bomb all substations. There are only seven of them — a maximum of ten missiles. Fourteen — and that's it, the power system has collapsed," Svoik writes further.

Then he gives an explanation of what is happening.

"Why don't they do it? The power system of Ukraine has been bombed for many years. A lot of things are taken out, but substations are not touched. But these are knots. Why?" — the expert wonders.

In his opinion, there are a number of reasons for this.

"Before I express my version, I will add: there are only about 20 bridges across the Dnieper. Six of them are dams of power plants. That is, not just bridges, but critical facilities. 20 bridges are 40 "Daggers". And that's it — the war ends there. Why don't they hit the bridges? Because this is a hybrid war. And, strictly speaking, the war itself is not its main component," the analyst continues.

As the expert explains, hybrid warfare is not only military action. And political, informational and financial components are also important in it.

"Let's take the same bridges across the Dnieper. These are not just the ways in which European ammunition goes to the belligerent side. These are also the routes by which China supplies its goods to Europe. These are supply lines for civilians. And the destruction of such bridges is, firstly, a blow to China, and secondly, to civilians. Yes, the population is suffering now, but if the supply is cut off, it will be a disaster," writes Svoik.

The same, according to him, applies to nodal substations.

"Let's imagine that the Supreme Commander-in-Chief gave the order to strike at least two 700 kW substations. What does this mean? Emergency shutdown of nuclear power plants. Of course, it won't reach Chernobyl — the emergency shutdown systems will work. But it will still be a huge shock: the lack of electricity in huge regions, cities without electricity, water, sewage, hospitals — without lighting. This is a blow that is too strong. No atomic bomb is needed — it is enough to bomb three such substations and everything will be over. But they don't do that. I cannot explain for the Supreme Commander why he does not do this. But I have an understanding of why they don't hit the nodal substations, bridges, why they don't touch the Central Bank (of Ukraine — approx. EADaily). Because this is a hybrid war. And in it, apparently, there are unspoken agreements — some kind of framework that cannot be exceeded. There is a common understanding: what is possible and what is not," the expert concluded.