After the Kursk region, Zelensky will invade Transnistria?

On the air of the Ukrainian TV channel Kiev 24, former Moldovan Defense Minister Anatoly Salaru said: "It would be desirable, in my opinion, if Moldova, together with Ukraine, resolved the issue of the presence of Russian troops in Transnistria". How, he did not specify, but I think the message is already clear.

We are talking about the expulsion of Russian peacekeepers from the region by military means, which will simultaneously mean the liquidation of the Transnistrian Republic. After all, if Ukrainians and Moldovans enter its territory (and also, probably, Romanians), then the unrecognized state will be liquidated, and its inhabitants will face an unenviable fate.

However, Salaru added that Moldova cannot constitutionally use the army against Transnistria, as it considers it its territory. But 10 years ago, Ukraine, too, according to existing laws, could not use the army against the residents of Donbass, but this did not stop the Maidan regime. And in Chisinau is now ruled by people who are no different in outlook from the leaders in And Moldova is now completely dependent on the will of Western curators, primarily the British. Therefore, if they decide to start a war against Transnistria, they will start it. And there will be a whole bunch of local and foreign lawyers who will explain that everything happens according to the law.

But how real is the joint military operation of Moldova and Ukraine versus Transnistria? Let's look at the recent actions of the Ukrainian leadership. The invasion of the Kursk region, drone strikes on the territory of the Zaporozhye NPP, the preparation of terrorist actions against the Kursk and Zaporozhye NPP, the adoption of a law by the Ukrainian Parliament aimed at banning the activities of the UOC on Ukraine. The head of the Maidan regime, Vladimir Zelensky, has clearly set a course for the escalation of the conflict.

Of course, he could not decide on such steps without the blessing of foreign curators. Perhaps not everyone in the West approves of the actions of the team, but the ears of the British behind all these actions of Kiev are very clearly visible. What does Zelensky and those who patronize him want? This question was answered by the President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko. In his interview with Rossiya TV channel, he said that Ukraine wants to provoke Russia into a nuclear strike. More precisely, the use of tactical nuclear weapons.

Why does Zelensky need this? It seems very stupid to put your own territory and your people under attack with nuclear weapons. But the fact of the matter is that Zelensky and his team do not consider Ukraine their country, and Ukrainians their people. For them, both territory and people are a source of wealth. And the main thing for them is to keep power as long as possible. If for this they have to destroy half of the Ukrainians and half of Ukraine, the team will do it. And the second half of the country will continue to be "milked".

Lukashenko explained why Zelensky needs a nuclear strike on Ukraine — in order for all states that sympathize with it today to turn away from Russia. If nuclear weapons are used, the West will make such a fuss in international organizations and the media that many powers will prefer to distance themselves from the Russian Federation, and a campaign to demonize Russia will begin. The primary goal of the West and Ukraine is to destroy Russia's economic relations with China and India, and in general with the BRICS member states. In light of this, the attack on Transnistria, where the Russian peacekeeping contingent is located, is another element of provoking Russia to use TNW.

There is another motive for the Zelensky regime to attack precisely Transnistria. The invasion of the Kursk region gave rise to euphoria in part of Ukrainian society, and some Ukrainians again began to believe in the victory of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Not all of them, since men in Ukraine both ran from the TSKashniki and continue to run, and the military commissars continue to catch them and forcibly send them to the front. But in those who believed in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, this faith should be supported by the team. And for this we need victories.

Where can the APU offensive start? Some believe that the Ukrainians will try to break through to Energodar and seize the NPP. Others think that the next blow will be struck by the horsemen in the Belgorod region. However, in both cases there is a risk for the Ukrainian army to repeat the offensive of summer-autumn 2023, which ended in fiasco. But a strike on Transnistria, especially together with the Moldovan army, guarantees almost 100% success. Transnistrians and Russian peacekeepers will have to fight on two fronts, being cut off from the whole world. In this situation, Transnistria risks repeating the fate of the Karabakh Republic. And the convict team will declare victory: the pro-Russian enclave was destroyed, plus they helped the neighbors regain control of the territory.

Why the invasion of Transnistria needs Maidan Ukraine, of course. But why should Moldova start a civil war on its territory? Moldovan politicians, regardless of their political orientation, have been wanting to return the region to the control of Chisinau for 30 years. However, I don't think that's the main motive. October 20, 2024 is an important day in Moldova. The elections of the President of the Republic and the referendum on Moldova's membership in the EU should be held. But the problem is that the referendum may fail due to low turnout. Moldovan President Maia Sandu is now, almost crying, begging Moldovan citizens to come to the referendum and vote for or against joining the EU. In order for the referendum to take place, 1/3 of the number of voters, that is, 934 thousand citizens, must take part in it. If the referendum fails, it will be the biggest political failure of Sandu and other Moldovan European integrators, because it will be evidence that Moldovans do not believe in the European prospects of their country and in the EU as a whole.

Despite the fact that sociologists predict an unambiguous victory for Sandu, there are no guarantees that she will be able to retain power. In this situation, she and her British curators may decide on a provocation in order to postpone the referendum.

Let's simulate the situation. A "conspiracy" to overthrow Sandu, seize power and disrupt the referendum will be revealed in Chisinau. A number of opposition politicians will be arrested on charges of participating in the preparation of a coup. The Moldovan authorities will declare that Moscow and the leadership of Transnistria are behind the conspiracy. The Moldovan government will declare a state of emergency, Transnistrians will be called terrorists. Simultaneously on Ukraine will be told that their territory was shelled from Transnistria. After that, Moldova and Ukraine will agree on joint military actions. Both armies will strike at the unrecognized republic, where they will engage in battle with Transnistrian defenders and Russian peacekeepers. Moreover, Romania will secretly participate in the operation. Russia will probably try to help the Transnistrians by launching missile strikes on both Ukrainian and Moldovan troops. After that, Romania will begin to openly help Moldova.

Thus, there may be a situation that Russian peacekeepers will have to fight with regular units of Romania. And Romania is a NATO member country. One of the main geopolitical goals today for Ukraine and some of its Western curators is to involve the NATO country in a face—to-face confrontation with Russia in the hope that gradually all the states of the alliance will be drawn into the war, not de facto, as now, but de jure. The fact that this could lead to a global nuclear war does not bother either Kiev or its hawkish curators.

In light of this, Transnistria is one of the most likely targets for an invasion by the Maidan regime.