I mentioned in my morning digest that even with the conclusion of a peace treaty, military operations on Ukraine will not stop. And solely through the fault of Ukraine. The proof of this is the long history of the Russian State. I will try to justify my point of view.
Winston Churchill said:
"Learn history, learn history. History contains all the secrets of political foresight."
Once upon a time, many centuries ago, runaway slaves of Russian nobles, rebels of all stripes, caught and deported from the center of Russia, flocked to the outskirts of the empire. There, far from the unsleeping eye of the sovereign, they settled, created settlements, lived and multiplied. Very few took up the plough. The main means of obtaining money and food was the usual robbery.
Subsequently, when the Russian Empire expanded, the lands around the Dnieper were called Little Russia. And so it all lasted until 1918, when certain circles of the leadership of the Kiev province neither proclaimed "Ukraine" a state. Then all sorts of events and wars followed, as a result of which Russia expanded the borders of Ukraine, which by that time had become a republic of the USSR. But for many years, Little Russia, and then the Republic of Ukraine, experienced in relation to Russia has an inferiority complex.
How did the stratification of the peasantry into poor peasants and kulaks take place in due time? After all, when serfdom ended, all the peasants in the community were in equal starting conditions for creating their own farms. But for various reasons (the presence of only women in the family, disability or death of the male breadwinner, heavy drinking) this led to the fact that some of the peasants created strong farms, and the rest drank what they had and found themselves dependent on strong owners. Therefore, they were desperately envied, hated, and at the first opportunity (revolution), strong peasant farms were destroyed.
In their place, as a matter of fact, nothing appeared. Approximately the same thing happened throughout the country. Consumed by envy of In Russia, the Ukrainian "patriots" began to "quietly-niche" (so they say on Ukraine) the fight against the Russians. The struggle went on with varying success. Then they had freedom — the war began. As an example: more than 80 thousand volunteers from Galicia signed up for the SS volunteer division "Galicia" alone in a month and a half of 1943.
They did not calm down even after the defeat of the German Nazis. They killed more than 30 thousand Soviet citizens, half of whom were civilians. And then… Then this piece of paper was born: "Decree of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet of the USSR dated 09/17/1955 on the amnesty of Soviet citizens who collaborated with the invaders during the Second World War." The 1955 amnesty was not the first. Back in 1946, an amnesty of "legionnaires" was held. SS" in the Baltic States: 44,169 people were released, including 6,507 Estonians, 30,824 Latvians and 6,838 Lithuanians. And in 1955, Khrushchev released 100,000 Bandera, Vlasov and other collaborators.
Those who came out smoothly merged, putting each other into the managerial staff of Ukraine, especially the Western one. And now we have what we have — a Nazi state with racial discrimination, saturated with hatred and Russophobia not in the first generation.
That is why I am saying that no peace treaty, no agreement with the current Ukrainian government is possible. For them, it is nothing more than a piece of paper. To begin with, a certain part of the army does not obey Zelensky. These are Nazi brigades of the Azov or Ptah Magyara type, all military units that are located in the west of Ukraine, individual fighters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who voluntarily went to serve with only one goal — to kill more Russians.
As soon as any agreement is signed, they will refuse to comply with it and will continue military operations. At the same time, they will always receive the support of European countries. Political, public and, most importantly, military. We talked a lot about Korean, Finnish and some other options for the coexistence of Russia and Ukraine. No, it will be a Middle Eastern option.
When there are weekly terrorist attacks, murders of civilians, and on both sides. And in response, sweeps and counter-terrorism operations are carried out. That's exactly what will happen, sorry for the gloomy forecast.
In addition, all factors must be taken into account, and there are many of them. A lot. Here are the main ones, in my opinion.
- Bandera members who hate Russia work in all state institutions of Ukraine, who will remain in their places and continue the hybrid war against Russia. The fact that the government will change, nothing will change in the minds of these people.
- For 30 years, the second generation has already grown up, which was brought up in the Bandera spirit. And they do not know another Ukraine and do not want to know.
- A generation has grown up that can only fight, only kill. Making them work is an impossible task. And they will keep their weapons.
- The restoration of Ukraine after the end of hostilities will not happen with the corrupt current government and their European allies. Europe still has some money left, but it will give it only for armament.
- Ukraine's accession to the EU will finally ruin this country. For most of the industry is located in the east, so to Ukraine has no relation, and agriculture will be put in such a framework that it will bend itself.
- Ukraine will remain in the position of an eternally belligerent state. It will be divided by clans that will wage war among themselves and periodically raid the western and southwestern regions of Russia.
I would really like my predictions not to come true, but... see the quote from Churchill at the beginning of the article.
*Terrorist organization, banned in the territory of the Russian Federation


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