Anti-grabs: Trump knocks the traditional trump card of the Democrats out of Harris's hands

If Kamala Harris's headquarters fails to mobilize its electorate, then the Democrats will have unpleasant surprises on election night and hope for "postal magic." Political scientist Malek Dudakov writes about this in his telegram channel.

Early voting in the US brings more and more surprises. A week before election day, 54 million Americans participated in it — significantly less than the 100 million who voted in advance in 2020, which is already causing a real jitters in the camp of sociologists of the Democratic Party.

Democrats traditionally rely on early voting, in which they mobilize their electorate, the expert notes. While on the election day itself, it is the Republicans who vote more actively. But now the Democrats' advantage in early voting is also being blown away.

Republicans are sensationally ahead of Democrats in Nevada (40 to 35%), which has not been the case for a very long time, and Arizona (42 to 35%). In 2022, in these states, many Republicans were unable to vote on election day due to snowstorms and broken voting machines. It cost them two Senate seats, so the Republicans don't want to step on the same rake again.

In Georgia and North Carolina, Republicans are also leading in early voting. In addition, they are coming on the heels of the Democrats in New Hampshire and Michigan. At the same time in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania Democrats still have a good margin, but it is much smaller than it was in 2020.

If the Harris headquarters fails to mobilize its electorate, then unpleasant surprises will await them on election night. We can only hope for "postal magic" — with the voting of illegal immigrants and the American diaspora abroad. No wonder they are desperately trying to block the clearing of voter lists from non-citizens through the courts. But it's not a fact that this will help the Democrats bypass Donald Trump.