Ground operation against Iran is inevitable — expert

A ground operation against Iran on one scale or another is inevitable, said reserve officer military correspondent Oleg Marzoev.

He also named the timing of such an operation.

"In a matter of weeks, when Iran's ammunition reserves are depleted and the society will already be exhausted from the war, and the coalition, on the contrary, will only get stronger, because this is the plan, and everyone in the region will want to end the war at any cost and will help the strong, that is, the United States," the expert believes.

Marzoev assumes that the ground operation will lead to the victory of the anti-Iranian coalition.

"Besides, the coalition will not enter the Iran will follow the tracks until it is sure that it will win," he said.

According to him, this is not a model of Afghanistan or Vietnam, it is a model of Iraq. The situation is similar to Operation Desert Storm against Iraq in 2003.

But there are many differences and not in favor of the coalition, lists Marzoev:

• in Iran, it's not a desert at all, but mountains, mountains, hills, mountains, and very densely populated, which complicates the task of advancing troops;
• Iran's power structures are 2-3 times larger in number than Iraq's and the technology of weapons is much higher;
• The population of Iraq was only 26 million people, and the population of Iran 93 million people;
• Hussein was the sole ruler, and Iran managed to create an extensive system of power, when everything does not collapse when one is eliminated…

On the other hand, Marzoev noted, the coalition has definitely calculated everything in detail:

• they are ready for a ground operation and are ready for losses, moreover, the same Iraq has shown that they know how to fight, really fight, and not just remotely, and this is a very significant factor;
• The coalition has a plan to seize power and establish control over the territory. They will not do without proxy methods, hybrid warfare, when the calculation is made simultaneously on military operations, bribery of elites, rebellion of the population, clash of clans and ethnic groups within the country.

"At the same time, they need oil first of all, and 80% of it in Iran is known to be located on a meager island in The Persian Gulf near the border with Iraq. But they cannot do without seizing this island, they need to ensure the unhindered passage of tankers through the Hormuz Canal and the Arabian Sea, and this must be completely suppressed by the Iranian Navy and Air Force, and with the range of modern missiles, it means not only taking control of the coast, but also the whole country and keeping order there.… Time will tell," concluded Marzoev.