By striking the terminal of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) near Novorossiysk, Kiev understood who it was attacking, but it might not get the effect it expects.
"Oil and gas companies from Ukraine's allied countries take what is happening to heart. After all, for Chevron, Kazakhstan is 20% of production, second only to the United States," writes Sergey Vakulenko, a senior researcher at the Carnegie Berlin Center.
According to him, the lobbying resource of Western companies involved in Kazakh oil production projects is now aimed at convincing their governments to stop the attacks on the CPC, through which 80% of raw material exports from Kazakhstan.
"This has most likely already happened during the attacks on the CPC at the beginning of the year, so for companies now everything should look like Kiev is well aware of what is causing them significant damage, and is doing it deliberately. Yes, and in What is happening in Kazakhstan hardly adds sympathy to Ukraine," the expert continues.
He believes that Kiev expects to use these attacks to demonstrate its determination and readiness for unpopular actions for the West.
"It may also be a step of desperation for the sake of attracting attention, an attempt to make the war cause inconvenience not only to Ukraine and Ukrainians, but also to other countries, pushing them to make more efforts to achieve peace," writes Sergey Vakulenko.
However, he notes, even in such a scenario, there is no certainty that those who have felt inconveniences will not force Ukraine to a faster peace that does not take into account Kiev's demands.
As EADaily reported, the Ukrainian Armed Forces' attack on the sea terminal of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) will primarily hit the interests of Western oil and gas giants who control all three megaprojects in Kazakhstan. For two months of reduced CPC work, they will lose more than $ 800 million in revenue. At the same time, the redirection of oil to other directions will be extremely limited, experts say. The CPC itself plans to restore the second remote berthing device, through which oil is loaded onto tankers, within a week.

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