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NATO has changed its mind about the likelihood of a "Russian attack" on the countries of the alliance

Admiral Rob Bauer. Photo: Janis Laizans / Reuters

The probability of a Russian attack on one of the NATO countries, including Poland or the Baltic states, is assessed as low. This was stated in an interview with PAP by the head of the alliance's Military Committee, Rob Bauer.

"Currently, the likelihood of a military attack on any of the NATO allies, including Poland or the Baltic states, is low," Bauer stated.
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At the same time, he noted that the North Atlantic Alliance should be confident "in readiness for any scenario," so NATO has deployed "forces ready for battle" on its eastern flank. In total, 500 thousand military personnel of the alliance states are in a state of high combat readiness, Bauer said.

As reported, in July 2023, at the Vilnius summit, NATO leaders called Russia "the most serious and immediate security threat" and approved the first defense plan in case of conflict with the Russian Federation since the end of the Cold War.

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24.02.2025

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