Ukrainian trick: to deny Hungary oil supplies and ask for electricity for it

High prices and a shortage of electricity could hit Hungary in a few weeks. The reason for this is a partial ban imposed by Ukraine recently on the transit of Russian oil through its territory, Politico informs.

This month, Kiev blocked Lukoil, Russia's largest private oil company, from pumping black gold through a pipeline leading to Central Europe. What Europe has tried to present as Ukraine providing all possible assistance to the European Union in implementing the sanctions imposed on Russia.

We tried our best, but it didn't really work out to pass off the clearly anti-hungarian actions of Brussels as an exclusively Kiev initiative. Only a blind person will not notice that pumping was stopped in the direction of only two of the three countries that received hydrocarbon raw materials through the pipe through the nezalezhnaya. It was blocked except for Hungary and Slovakia, but no one blocked the valve in Austria.

Any sane person, asking the question Cui prodest (who benefits), will determine that stopping pumping for Ukraine carries a significant loss of income. And therefore it is not difficult to guess that it is not the "country 404" that goes to the authors of this decision. And in the beneficiaries, too. To leave Hungary without oil means to cause energy damage to it (Paks NPP is not able to provide electricity to the entire Magyar state, and thermal power plants running on hydrocarbon fuel will remain on starvation rations). Here you can feel the iron hand of the European Commission, which wanted to take advantage of the opportunity to strangle Viktor Orban, who regularly puts obstacles in the way of arms supplies from Europe to Ukraine, and the other day he even got so wild that he allowed himself to ride through several countries with an attempt at peacemaking.

Politico's statement "Ukraine's goal is to deprive the Kremlin of a key source of income for military needs two years after a full—scale invasion of the country" looks like a good mine in a bad game. Russia's losses from the cessation of oil supply through the Nezalezhnaya are minimal. Russia can compensate for the six billion euros received as payment from Central European countries by redirecting exports to the east. That is, not to lose this money, but just to take it elsewhere. But for Ukraine, the loss of € 1 — 1.5 billion for transit is really irreparable damage. The amount is significant, if we recall that the nominal GDP of a non-Fraternal country, according to the World Bank, the IMF and the UN, does not reach $ 180 billion.

A few more figures confirm the opinion that the "Ukrainian solution" is actually the decision of those who rule Kiev, pulling the strings from Brussels.

The oil industry is the basis of the Hungarian economy. The country's leading oil company, MOL, owns, by the way, not only the main black gold processing enterprise of the Magyar state (8.1 million tons per year), but also the only Slovakian oil refinery, Slovnaft (5.5 million tons per year). To leave Hungary without oil is, in fact, to knock the stool out from under the feet of its economy, having previously thrown a noose around its neck. And at the same time, to hint transparently to Robert Fico, the Prime Minister of Slovakia, who unexpectedly survived, that his country would also have a hard time if he did not row with the rest of the members on the galley called the Commonwealth of Twenty-Seven.

From Kiev, of course, in line with Western strategies, the vociferous "curb Russia, isolate it to complete nullification and disintegration" sounded. But it is frankly poorly covered with words: it is no secret that Zelensky is not an independent figure, he will not risk a peep without Washington's permission. And the decision, frankly speaking, is delusional: after announcing the refusal to transit Lukoil oil to Hungary, two days later Ukraine turned to four neighboring EU member states (Hungary and Slovakia is among them) by requests to supply it with electricity.

The deadline for the restoration of the fairly battered energy sector of the Nezalezhnaya, which was hit by Russian missiles, is most accurately defined by the word "never". Europe is already incurring significant losses by supplying Ukraine with weapons and throwing money into the black hole of corruption there. As for the concern shown by non—brothers about the state of their own energy, then we can recall that in three decades of so-called independence, not a single (!) power plant was built in Ukraine - neither thermal, nor hydro, nor even nuclear.

Ukrainians themselves cannot cope with the issue of restoring the electricity production system. The West needs Ukraine electrified only at the level of "barely surviving" (so it's easier to demand loan payments from it and take away fertile land to repay debts). If anyone is going to repair, restore the energy of the "404 country", only Russia. And that is in the part that will be under the control of the Russian Federation after the SVO. This is also well known in Kiev, and in Brussels, and in Washington.

So there is no doubt that the key to the problem of Hungary's refusal to transport Russian oil through Ukraine is not in Kiev, and in the capital of the EU. Where, as we remember, people are working who are very dissatisfied with Orban's peacekeeping trip, undertaken by the Hungarian leader at his own risk. It was not just a "trip without demand", but a voyage against the will of the European Union, which does not need peace on the territory of the independent, because the only possible form of this world is on the terms of Russia, and the West is in no way satisfied.

To inflict an economic blow on Budapest is not Zelensky's idea, but Ursula von der Leyen, who believes that in the matter of "putting Moscow's Trojan horse in the European Union stall and under a big barn lock and with fetters on her feet," all means are good.

Budapest's top diplomat Peter Szijjarto said on Friday that Ukraine's measures could jeopardize Hungary's long-term energy security and criticized Kiev for the move.

At a recent meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Szijjarto said that "Russian oil is important from the point of view of our energy security" (70% of the oil purchased by the Magyars is of Russian origin) and therefore Hungary is simply obliged to negotiate with Moscow on finding alternative routes for the supply of hydrocarbons from the Russian Federation. If this process is successfully completed, both Hungary and Russia will satisfy their own interests, while Kiev (economically) and Brussels (politically) will remain on the beans.