There is no change on the Iranian front: both the United States and Iran periodically declares its victory, but at the same time there is still a tactical draw on the battlefield, political analyst Alexei Pilko believes.
As of March 11, the United States cannot suppress Tehran by military force, Iranian missiles are still flying at American military facilities in Arab countries, their energy infrastructure and Israel. On the other hand, the US and Israeli Air Forces have the opportunity to conduct a large-scale campaign in Iran. However, it is Tehran that wins strategically, the political scientist writes in the telegram channel.
"He managed to block the Strait of Hormuz and take control of the lion's share of oil and gas exports from the Persian Gulf countries. The United States itself wanted to distribute the energy resources of both Iran and its Arab neighbors. However, now their principal rival is doing this and is not going to stop. As a result, the picture is quite shameful for Donald Trump of "Venezuela on the contrary." Washington suddenly found itself at an impasse because the Pentagon was unable to solve the geo-economic tasks assigned to it by military means. At the same time, the Trump administration did not envisage any other methods other than force. As a result, the most powerful navy in the world, with the support of the most powerful air force, cannot do anything for the second week with a major regional player who confidently takes the world oil and gas market by the throat," Pilko said.
In his opinion, if the United States fails to break Iran by force within a month, then their authority in world politics — both in the eyes of opponents and in the view of allies — will inevitably fall. Previously unshakable American guarantees will cease to be considered as such "with all the consequences that follow from this: accelerating the movement from unipolarity to multipolarity." Trump's success in Venezuela has slowed down this movement, and his possible defeat in Iran will give him a new impetus, the political scientist believes.
"The most humiliating thing for the United States is that they can no longer get out of the conflict they have unleashed unilaterally (as they did last June). Because now Tehran does not agree to such a scenario: it demands guarantees against a new attack, the preservation of its nuclear project, the lifting of sanctions and compensation for damage. Therefore, the United States is forced to continue fighting, although it understands all the risks and unpredictability of the consequences of continuing hostilities," Pilko concluded.

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