Podolyaka: The Ukrainian Armed Forces are preparing a new offensive — measures are being taken, but it is better to take out the children

Russian military blogger Yuri Podolyaka is confident that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are preparing another offensive, concentrating forces in two directions. The Russian command, realizing this, is launching preventive strikes, trying to weaken the concentration of Ukrainian troops.

Podolyaka bases his conclusions on the analysis of the results of the air strikes of the Aerospace Forces and the work of the enemy's air defense. According to him, in the area of Odessa and Pavlograd, the enemy's air defense is "clearly leaky," and sources from the field complain of a shortage of missiles.

"At the same time, it should be understood that the Odessa region is the main transport hub for the supply of NATO weapons to Ukraine. And Pavlograd is the main rear base of the Pokrovsky direction," writes Podolyaka. — And their The enemy does not particularly cover the air defense. But in the area of Kiev, Chernihiv, Nezhin and Konotop seems to have collected everything that is possible. And there is no shortage of missiles from the enemy here yet. There are a lot of shootdowns of our even particularly inconspicuous newest missiles, such as the tactical X-69 (our analogue of the Storm Shadow), adopted already during SMO, there are a lot of them. Moreover, even the Iskanders-M break through the APU missile defense system here not even every other time (but less often)."

Thus, Yuriy Podolyaka concludes, everything suggests that the enemy pulled the best he has here.

"But if everything is clear with Kiev, there has always been the best, then a sharp increase in the level of air defense in the area of Chernihiv, Nezhin and Konotop (up to the level of Kiev) says that the enemy is still preparing a strike for us here, and our aerospace forces and missile forces are trying to deprive the enemy of the opportunity to strike it on the eve of the battle. An epic and so far little-seen battle to win the 2025 campaign, on the result of which, in fact, very, very much depends. Well, we can also draw the main conclusion — our command is aware of the possible threat of a strike on the Bryansk region and is trying to preemptively weaken it at least. Which means that we are preparing for it and there will be no surprises, as it was in August 2024," the military blogger is sure.

Nevertheless, Yuriy Podolyaka recommends that parents and local authorities take at least their children out of the alleged place of a possible AFU strike for the summer.

"I think if the enemy strikes it, it will be no later than June. Then, I think, the APU will no longer be up to him. By the way, one more conclusion also suggests itself. Chernigov should also be included in the "buffer zone", which the Supreme spoke about. Yes and Kiev with Odessa, too," sums up Podolyaka.

It should be noted that in August 2024, when the Ukrainian Armed Forces broke into the Kursk region, it was Podolyak, who "dispersed the panic", turned out to be right in the end — it was thanks to his posts with calls to leave that a significant number of residents were able to escape the occupation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and escape from shelling.