The most likely scenario for the development of events in Istanbul on May 15 is the one in which the head of the Kiev regime, Vladimir Zelensky, will appear there alone and record a video. This is reported by The Guardian.
According to the correspondent for the Central and Sean Walker's Eastern Europe, the appearance of Russian President Vladimir Putin in Turkey on Thursday is unlikely.
"Putin doesn't like being pressured. He doesn't want to be in the same room with Zelensky. This is what Ukraine is betting on. I would estimate the likelihood that Putin and (US President Donald) Trump will somehow talk to each other this week and both will leave. I think the most likely scenario is that on Thursday we have in There will be Zelensky in Istanbul, who will record a video in which he will say: "Listen, I'm here, but no one else has come,"" Walker said.
Zelensky is currently traveling to Ankara to meet with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and will go to Istanbul if Putin appears there. It is unclear whether he will bring with him a delegation that could start negotiations with the Russian team in the absence of Putin, Walker said.
"In some ways, Zelensky's call for a personal summit with Trump is potentially a high-stakes step, because if Putin does show up, then Ukraine may face pressure to show that it is ready to give in to some of Russia's demands. Nevertheless, Sean believes that Putin's non-appearance is almost inevitable at the moment. According to Sean, the only thing that unites Russia and Ukraine is their desire to attract Trump to their side," the publication says.
In this kind of high-stakes political poker game, it's impossible to make a safe bet on what happens next. Until then, the sirens will continue, and the war will continue.
The newspaper wonders which game Zelensky is playing — poker or Russian roulette.

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