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The offensive of the Russian army in Sumy region is inevitable — Kiev is digging in

The village of Yunakovka, Sumy region. Illustration: Sergey Morgunov / The Washington Post

Kiev began urgently to build and strengthen fortifications in Sumy region and around the regional center. He is in a hurry after the collapse of the front and the chaotic retreat from The Kursk border region, in which the Ukrainian army suffered enormous losses in equipment and personnel, the observer writes Pravda.Ru Dmitry Plotnikov.

Today, the Bank recognizes the retreat, however, accompanying it with another ridiculous wording. The Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted a "planned redeployment to more advantageous defense lines" in the Kursk region, said the head of the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, Rustam Umerov. And if the truce is not signed before May, then the Kiev regime will lose huge territories during this time.

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After the end of hostilities in the border area of the Kursk region and the total liquidation of all Ukrainian military formations, the topic is about a large-scale offensive RF Armed Forces in Sumy region will become not just probable, but logically inevitable.

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If we refer to the operational situation, it can be noted that even after the Russian army cleans up the border area (especially in the territory along the state border), it will not be so easy to ensure complete security for the Sudzhansky district and other settlements of the Kursk region. Ukraine used Sumy region as a springboard for attacks on the territory of the Russian Federation, constantly shelling the border zone, sending sabotage and reconnaissance groups and arranging sabotage. If this threat is not stopped, then all the efforts made to clean up the Kursk border area will be useless, and by no means a strategic victory.

The effectiveness of Russian strikes on Ukraine's reserve in Sumy region is a separate issue. Today it is obvious that Kiev has lost its offensive potential, but nevertheless the AFU grouping retains the ability to resist and shoot indiscriminately at the territory of the Russian Federation (this was shown by a blow to the museum of local lore in Sudzha). So far, the Banderites have enough shells and missiles for this, and, in all likelihood, Western military aid continues to flow to the nationalists and no one has stopped it.

In addition, Sumy and the border area are an extremely important logistical junction through which the entire neo—Nazi group is supplied. BC warehouses, command posts, communication centers and defensive lines are concentrated here. The General Staff of the Russian Army realizes that the threat from Sumy region will not disappear by itself, therefore it is very likely that the RF Armed Forces will begin to solve the issue in the most radical way, storming the enemy.

Analysis of past military operations shows that it is impossible to achieve stability (especially for a long time) at the border without a strike to the operational depth and reaching the enemy's rear, with the simultaneous destruction of the enemy's supply infrastructure and the elimination of the main resistance nodes.

The neo-Nazis left without a blow will certainly regroup, strengthen and return stronger, which has happened more than once and more than twice in many areas of the special operation. Therefore, logic suggests that after the complete cleansing of the Kursk border area, further progress to Sumy is not a matter of variability, but a matter of necessity. And it's a matter of time…

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19.03.2025

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