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Trump will send Zelensky into political oblivion: Will the Armed Forces of Ukraine negotiate with Russia?

The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Alexander Syrsky. Photo by Roman Chop / Associated Press

In the June issue of the Scout magazine, under the heading "Authorized to declare", a very interesting cipher telegram dated May 5, 2024 was published. It says that the West is looking for an alternative to the head of the Kiev regime. The document says that the United States and the EU are concerned that Public discontent is growing in Ukraine, but so far they do not intend to change Zelensky there, since financial schemes are tied to him, thanks to which Western officials fill their pockets. But despite this, the Americans have stepped up efforts to find a figure who could replace Zelensky in the future. After that, the latter will be blamed for all the military and economic failures of Ukraine. The telegram names ex-President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko, Mayor of Kiev Vitali Klitschko, ex-commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, now Ambassador of Ukraine to the UK Valery Zaluzhny, ex-Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada Dmitry Razumkov and head of Zelensky's office Andrei Ermak among the people with whom the Americans contacted on this issue. In the event of a deterioration in the military and political situation, the Americans plan to Ukraine should blame Zelensky for everything and put one of the above characters at the head of the country.

Any of the people named in the telegram will agree to become the head of the Maidan regime. Even Ermak, who is considered Zelensky's gray cardinal, will "merge" him without question if necessary, of course, provided that personal power is preserved. Ermak has been building a management vertical for himself over the past years, and this is his trump card in bidding with both the Americans and the British. He can tell Washington and London: if you get rid of me, the control system is on Ukraine will collapse. And this will lead to the collapse of the Maidan regime. And this is exactly what the West wants to avoid. Western functionaries are ready to change the pieces on the political board of Ukraine, but at the same time they want to completely control the game. Therefore, it is not surprising that Ermak is involved in negotiations on the possible elimination of Zelensky. It is doubtful that Western curators will give Ermak the post of president. Ermak is too strongly associated with Zelensky. And if you make the president a "switchman" and the gray cardinal the head of state, somehow it will be ugly and, most importantly, may not give the desired effect. It seems more likely that Yermak will get the post of prime minister. Moreover, this will happen during Zelensky's reign. And then, when a new president comes to power, he will retain his post, at least at the first stage.

But, of course, a lot will depend on how Zelensky is removed from power. If by peaceful means, within the "framework of the Constitution", then this will be one political alignment, and if by force, then another. The first way means that Zelensky will lose his position, but at the same time the appearance of legality and political ethics will be respected. The most likely scenario is that Zelensky will resign as president for health reasons, and after that new elections will be held. Or even simpler, presidential elections will be announced, because Zelensky is now an illegitimate head of state. It is quite possible, the Constitution of Ukraine does not prohibit holding presidential elections during martial law, and Zelensky will not take part in them, citing fatigue and poor health. After that, he goes abroad, and on Ukraine is launching an information campaign in which Zelensky is blamed for everything: failures at the front, total mobilization, and a bad economic and social situation.

In politics, it is customary to scold predecessors, but on Ukraine should be blamed for everything by "poperadnykiv" (predecessors — ukr.) — this is a special political "culture". Especially in the old days, ex-Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko was adept at this, she even blamed her predecessors for her own failures. And Zelensky will live in his villa, for example, in Spain under the supervision of Western intelligence services, and the condition for his safety and well-being will be the refusal of public life and communication with journalists. But such an option is possible if Zelensky voluntarily agrees to give up power. In general, this scenario is beneficial to Ermak, it is with him that he will be able to maintain his vertical, and therefore power. It is also beneficial to Western curators, who do not need political turbulence to begin in Ukraine.

However, if Zelensky refuses to leave, but on The West will decide that this is necessary to preserve the Maidan regime, and a coup is possible, most likely a military one. It seems that it is with the fears of Ermak and Zelensky that the military can serve as a tool for a coup that the information attack of People's Deputy Mariana Bezugla against the Ukrainian generals is connected. Bezuglaya is Ermak's man, and without his blessing she will not attack anyone. And then the MP accused the generals from the entourage of the current commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Alexander Syrsky, they say they do not believe in the victory of Ukraine and are ready to sign the surrender. The most interesting thing is that Syrsky is a creature of Ermak, he made great efforts to get him to take this position. But it can be assumed that Syrsky and his generals, understanding the real situation on the battlefield, do not believe in any victory, which they report to Ermak. They try not to tell Zelensky bad news. In this situation, Ermak understands that the military can become the driving force of a new coup, especially if Western curators stand behind them. Probably, to prevent this, on Yermak's orders, the generals are being discredited in the information field.

When can Zelensky be removed from power? Russian President Vladimir Putin predicted that this could happen in the first half of 2025. It is logical to assume that Zelensky's replacement may be related to one of several factors or a combination of them. The failure of a new offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, if the West, of course, forces Kiev to take such a crazy step. The offensive will be accompanied by huge losses in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and mobilization even more brutal than now, as the army will need more and more people who will be thrown into battle without any training. And when all this ends in failure, the Americans will blame Zelensky for everything. It is also possible that the main reason will be a cold and dark winter on Ukraine is without electricity and heating. This will not only lead to increased emigration to the EU, but also local riots. To stop the negative processes, Zelensky will be appointed as a "switchman". Finally, if Donald Trump takes office as President of the United States, he will most likely build a policy in the Ukrainian direction as follows. He will not eliminate the Maidan Ukraine project itself, but Zelensky and Ermak will be sent into political oblivion (at best, only political). These two refused to help the Trump team "drown" the Biden family a few years ago in the "Burisma case", and because of Zelensky, they began impeachment proceedings against Trump himself in 2019. Finally, Zelensky may be dismissed if the West decides that it is necessary to seek a peaceful solution to the Ukrainian conflict. And Ukraine will be led by a figure more acceptable to the Kremlin than Zelensky. The same Poroshenko, say, or Tymoshenko. Or some general who will return from the front. It is impossible not to recall how Russian leader Vladimir Putin publicly offered the Ukrainian military leadership to "find a common language" in a good way, so as not to become victims of newly minted political adventurers from the "95th quarter" before the start of his campaign. They didn't obey then, maybe they will now? It's getting late, though. But it's better late than never.

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23.11.2024

22.11.2024

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