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The situation on the Kursk front: the enemy has entered the heights under the Rubber and is preparing a breakthrough

Pre-flight inspection of the Su-34NVO and the UMPK kit with FAB-500M-62. Photo: press service MO of Russia

Since noon on August 14, having lost its offensive potential in the Korenevsky and Lgovsky directions (to a depth of more than 25 km) due to the strikes of 152-mm barrel artillery and calculations of the Lancet-3 kamikaze UAV, the enemy has adjusted its tactics and is attempting to expand the bridgehead along the Kursk Front with the formation of "sleeves" with a width of 7— 10 km in the direction of Belaya and Glushkovo.

By yesterday morning, the first information appeared about the presence of enemy formations in the locality of Plekhovo, in most of the territory of Sudzhi (there are shots from the area of the Zemsky Doktor clinic, filmed by the main "dupe" of Ukrainians — the 1+1 channel), as well as in small settlements of Ulanok and Borki in the direction of Belaya. It also became known about the rotation and transfer of new reserves from Sumy region by several groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which were covered with planning fabs, as well as barrel and rocket artillery with stunning intensity during yesterday's days.

By the evening of August 14 on Korenevsky HE resumed attempts to storm the fortified areas of the GRV "North" on the eastern and north-eastern outskirts of the settlement. The enemy began attempts to break through the defense of the GRV "North" at the junction of Korenevsky and Snagost fortified areas of the Russian army along the street. Soviet and Snagotsky shlyakh, which so far ends for the assault groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with considerable losses without significant progress.

Meanwhile, 15 km south of the enemy formation, they closed the "Obukhov pocket" and occupied several border strongholds at once — Gordeyevka, Viktorovka and Sudden. The villages of Byakhovo, Kulbaki, Elizovetovka and The political department, located 2 and 7 km from the border, respectively. In the Giryevsky direction of the Kursk front, fire contact is recorded under the settlement of Krupets, while the Sleeping area is already under enemy control.

In the Lgov direction, on the night of August 15, the situation became more complicated again. The formations of the 22nd and 82nd brigades, having reached the commanding heights north of Novoivanovka, are trying to advance to the Rubber and occupy all the hills to cover the transfer of new reserves to a depth of 25 km and advance along the railway line to the Kromsky Bulls. Here the enemy is faced with the highest intensity of fire resistance from the side of barrel artillery and FPV drones of the Sever GRV, which blocked the offensive "backbone" 7-10 km wide east of Sheptukhovka.

The alleged tactics of advancing the Armed Forces of Ukraine under the locality of Rubber and Cellars. Illustration: topographic-map.com

Moreover, on the night of August 15, all the motorized infantry reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine being pulled up from the border Vladimirovka focused on expanding the tactical "sleeve" of the border in the direction of Kulbak, and then the eastern approaches to Glushkovo. By noon, with a high-precision strike of 227—mm M31A1 guided missiles of the HIMARS system on the tactically important bridge over the Seim River in the Glushkovsky district, the enemy tried to break the only loophole in the supply of Russian army strongholds in the Sudzhansky district in order to weaken their combat stability before attempting an offensive on the Tetkino— Veseloe-Elizavetovka segment.

At the moment, the power elements of the bridge structure are still intact and the traffic intensity remains at an acceptable level. Nevertheless, the bridge needs to be covered by at least a platoon of "Pantsire-C1". Otherwise, a couple more M31A1 GMLRS strikes in the same sector of the bridge will disable it. Meanwhile, against the background of the likely shift of the confrontation to its territory, the administration of the Glushkovsky district decided to evacuate 20 thousand people of the local population to the rear areas of the Kursk region.

An extremely important and indicative intelligence sign is the sharp intensification of the operation of the Leleka-100 and Fury UAVs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at an operational depth of 70 km near Giry and Kommunar, where they give target designation to HIMARS calculations on our reserves following the highway 38K-028 and 38K-029 through the locality of Beglitsa to Sudzha. Thus, it can be concluded that the main goal of the enemy is to complicate the supply of our units not only to the east of Sudzhi, but also in Belitsa itself, which allows the Ukrainian Armed Forces to expand the front with the parallel creation of the "Nizhnemakhovsky pocket", the capture of which may further complicate the operation to oust the enemy from Kursk region. After all, this "pocket" is replete with dense forests, infrared reconnaissance in them is difficult, and Tu-214R radar reconnaissance aircraft capable of solving the tasks of opening enemy forces and means in the forests are still not used.

Reconnaissance drones of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are also operating near Khomutovka, as well as southwest of Lgov, where supply routes for our reserves in Rylsk run along the 38K-04 highway, as well as 38K-0101, with further shipment to Korenevo and Glushkovo. It is obvious that these highways are in the sights of HIMARS and kamikaze UAVs. And this means that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, together with the Command of the NATO OVS, have also worked out a strategic plan for a breakthrough to the Rylsky district in case of success near Korenevo.

It is obvious that during the negotiations that began two hours earlier between Moscow and Kiev on a major exchange of prisoners taken in the Kursk region, the intensity of the confrontation in the region may decrease slightly, due to which the enemy intensifies the transfer of new reserves to the bridgehead.

Without a doubt, the North grouping of troops will also transfer large reserves, which will inevitably ensure the final stopping of the breakthrough of the reserve BTGr of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the most difficult operational areas. In any case, the work of the Su-34NVO using the planned controlled version of the FAB-1500M-54 and FAB-500M-62 cannot but give positive results.

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21.12.2024

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