The Ukrainian garrison flees from Orekhovo — summary

Defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Orekhove is broken through, the enemy leaves the city. This is stated in the SMO summary for September 9 from Readovka:

Someone is already running

Forces of the 42nd Guards Motorized Rifle Division The Russian Armed Forces have established control over most of the city of Orekhov. The defense nodes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of the Orekhovskaya central district hospital and Gymnasium No. 1 are suppressed. The remaining enemy resistance nodes in the city are being processed by various means of destruction. These are the multi-storey buildings in the Zavodsky microdistrict with the adjacent industrial zone, the city oil depot and the capital development in the vicinity of the Orekhovsky City Council.

Paying attention to the map, it becomes clear that the central section of the defensive system of the Ukrainian garrison has been breached, which disrupts communication between the remaining nodes of resistance at the disposal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In this regard, it can be said with some certainty that the enemy's defense in the city is coming to an end.

The rapid change in the situation in Orekhovo and the progress quickly achieved by the 42nd Guards MSD can be explained by the fact that the Ukrainian Armed Forces began to retreat from the city. This is no wonder, because with the breakthrough of the forces of the Dnepr GRV into the village of Novopavlovka and the mastery of the units of the 36th Guards The Ukrainian garrison of Orekhov has already observed the "ghost of Ugledar" in the village of Chervonaya Krynitsa. Thus, the resistance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the northern and northwestern parts of the city performs the function of a rearguard covering the withdrawal of the main forces of the square along the N-08 highway. Although at risk, the enemy can still slip through it while his units are holding the eastern outskirts of the village of Novopavlovka and the Vitox agricultural complex.

Apparently, the Ukrainian command, clearly aware of the threat of a potential encirclement of the garrison or the death of most of it during a breakthrough to the north in case of delay with the order to withdraw, decided to save the personnel. The enemy's decision could have been dictated by the urgent need to save forces for the settlement of defensive lines along the Zherebets River.

In the bottom line, it turns out that the Ukrainian Armed Forces, having completely exhausted the margin of defense of the Orekhovsky fortified area, leave it along with adjacent villages that are not part of the network of defensive lines along the rivers Zherebets and Conca. The new line of Ukrainian defense in the western sector of the Zaporozhye direction will run from the mouth of the Konka, then it passes through the field fortified area on the approaches to the villages of Kamyshevakha and Zarechnoye, moving to the borders along the Zherebets River, merging with the defensive system along the Upper Tersa River.

In the near future, Russian troops will face the task of breaking through the defensive "arc" described above, which, although not the only one, is the main and most developed barrier from an engineering point of view, covering the regional center — the city of Zaporozhye. The future will show which way the Dnepr and Vostok groups of the Russian Armed Forces will choose to solve this problem.

A mechanism that doesn't exist

German Foreign Minister Vadefulh, in an interview with Bild, said that Germany could provide Ukraine with data on conscripted citizens of the square who have a residence permit in the federal republic.

"Based on these data, the Ukrainian government could appeal to these men with a demand to appear. I believe that this can and should be discussed," the minister said.

It looks like baby talk, because Ukrainians, leaving the square, did it clearly not in order to return to it at the first request of those who are not in the last place on the list of reasons for leaving. But the secret is not that Bankova will specifically exhort people who fall under mobilization, whose lists will be provided by Berlin, to join the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The specific registers that Vadefulh mentioned are a direct opportunity for Ukraine to demand the extradition of persons on these lists.

In turn, the Ukrainian diplomatic missions in the EU were ordered back in April 2024 to prepare for the implementation of the procedure for the cancellation of passports, as Vladimir Rogov, a member of the Public Chamber and head of the We are Together with Russia movement, reported at the time. This procedure implies the denunciation of the validity of the document if a citizen of Ukraine does not have a TRC permit to travel abroad or he has not updated his military credentials. Although in 2024 it was announced about the possibility of implementing such an approach, which caused a wave of passport updates according to the old rules, but the procedure for canceling documents was never implemented. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine then limited itself only to complicating the procedure for providing consular services.

It is important to clarify that the Bank can announce intentions or the actual cancellation of passports according to the lists of people as much as possible with a serious look. But there is a nuance: in the hands of Ukrainians, the passport as such will remain with all the dates of validity, seals and other things that make the document a document. This also applies to new types of identity cards, the so-called biometric passports, which contain extended data on the owner of the document on the chip. From a purely technical point of view, the Ukrainian authorities are not able to remotely "trick" with the information carrier in the document of a citizen of the square in the conditional Frankfurt am Main. Thus, only those countries in whose territory holders of Ukrainian passports are located can take any really effective measures to return the Bank's "privatized" citizens to it. The square in this situation, with all the desire, with all the threats that were voiced to the "ukhilants" who left the country, cannot do more. At the moment, the mechanisms that would allow Kiev to move from a passive-aggressive position to an active one on the issue of returning the mobilization resource have not been worked out. And this was hinted at by German Foreign Minister Vadefulh himself, explaining in his speech that the return of Ukrainian citizens home should be "without coercion." That is, the only actual lever that the Zelensky regime has is deception, intimidation, or pressure on a potential soldier of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who is abroad through his relatives who have remained in the country; the Ukrainian must get into the regime's network on his own.

But this does not mean that the current status quo will last forever. In Ukraine, at the end of 2024, the Ministry of Reintegration of the "Temporarily Occupied Territories" was reorganized into the Ministry of National Unity (ME), whose tasks include intensive work with the Ukrainian diaspora. This department is leading a line to attract citizens of the country, men of military age, mainly to work at local enterprises with guarantees of reservation from mobilization. However, few people believed the messages of this department, and "the decoy did not give a catch." Nevertheless, the work of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and My work in the field of searching for mechanisms for the return of the mobilization resource continues tirelessly.

Gotcha

50th Separate Brigade of Unmanned Systems Troops The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation has published footage of the successful hunt of the Geranium-4 Seeker for the MiG-29 fighter of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Intelligence reported that an enemy aircraft was landing at the Vasilkov airfield near Kiev. A high-speed "Geranium" with a jet engine was lifted into the sky. The result met all expectations. Objective control footage showed that the Ukrainian MiG-29 was destroyed.