Hegseth is expected to resign due to new data on a strike on an Iranian school

Users of the American betting site Kalshi began to bet more often on the dismissal of the head of the Pentagon, Pete Hegseth, amid the interim results of the investigation into the attack on the Iranian school and procurement data from the department, writes RTVI.US .

During the day, the probability of the minister's departure this year jumped by 10 percentage points and on the evening of March 11 fluctuated around 40%.

The preliminary results of the Pentagon investigation into the attack on a school in southern Iran were revealed by the New York Times. According to her interlocutors familiar with the course of the inspection, the US military really struck the school with Tomahawk missiles due to a guidance error. Unnamed officials told the publication that the Central Command (SENTCOM) probably received outdated information from military intelligence and did not double-check it. According to Iranian media reports, up to 175 people, mostly children studying at school, could have become victims of the strike.

Earlier, US President Donald Trump, in a comment to journalists, blamed Iran itself for the incident, saying that it was careless with weapons. Hegseth then said, standing next to the president, that the inspection was continuing, but "Iran is targeting the civilian population."

Trump was asked again about the investigation on Wednesday after the interim results appeared in the media. He said shortly before flying to Kentucky for a campaign event that he "doesn't know" what he was talking about.

On the Kalshi website, where, according to the exchange principle, it is possible to conclude a "contract" for this or that event, Hegseth's resignation by the end of 2026 increased in price to 43 cents on Wednesday. The indicator thus corresponds to a 43 percent probability of dismissal, according to the opinion of "stockholders."