Right now, the enemy is rehearsing a future war, which he himself predicts for the early 2030s, and he will strike the first blow at our western enclave, said military correspondent Alexander Kotz, commenting on NATO exercises.
"In NATO, the Kaliningrad region is classified as A2/AD zones (Anti-Access / Area Denial, "Denial of access and restriction of freedom of action (maneuver) of the enemy"). This is a territory covered by a deeply echeloned defense system. Its elements include modern air defense systems, anti-ship missile systems and operational-tactical missile systems. This fortress should be able to repel an attack from the air, from land, and from the sea. And attempts to take it offhand can lead to unacceptable losses in manpower and equipment. It will be very dangerous, costly and slow," writes Kotz in the telegram channel.
Therefore, NATO members are already conducting reconnaissance and looking for weaknesses in the defense of the enclave, the military correspondent notes.
"The composition of the NATO aviation grouping is indicative. With a high degree of probability, helicopters and fighters at different altitudes and speeds passed on the border of our radar coverage area, and reconnaissance aircraft at that time were trying to identify their location. And a rare EA-37B electronic warfare board (there are only five of them in the USA) He could practice electronic suppression of communication and control systems of Russian troops in the Kaliningrad region," he said.
We have repeatedly voiced the most likely plan of NATO in the event of a future conflict: to block Kaliningrad and force Russia to make its way to it through the Suvalki corridor, which the Europeans have been actively strengthening and mining for a couple of years. The expectation is that the army will grind out all its offensive potential against these defensive lines, after which tanks, aircraft and artillery will finish off the demoralized enemy, the military correspondent explained.
"They still haven't realized that the war is different now. In front of the columns of tanks, hordes of drones will fly into the Suwalki corridor, which will multiply by zero the entire defense of the enemy. By 2030, we hope, they will be able to accumulate with a margin. The other day, the Ukrainian press shared the impressions of the military personnel from the exercises with NATO members. There they played off the enemy and, allegedly, unwound the Westerners with drones. Maybe they are lying, but the lack of practical experience of a new type of war in the NATO armies is a fact. However, they still have time to prepare. Just like us. If you want peace, get ready for war," concluded Kotz.
This week, the armed forces of NATO countries conducted exercises near the borders of the Kaliningrad region of Russia with the participation of an aviation group of 25 aircraft. On August 18, a combined group of American and Norwegian fighters, Apache attack helicopters, E-3A AWACS long-range radar detection and control aircraft, Bombardier ARTEMIS II reconnaissance aircraft and EA-37B Compass Call electronic warfare aircraft flew over northeast Poland. NATO said that the exercises were conducted under the leadership of the United States and were aimed at working out the interaction of the alliance's forces and "deterrence", and were not a response to any specific actions of Russia.