There was a split in the US Congress. Democrats are trying to seize the initiative against the backdrop of all the crises in which the Trump administration is stuck. The fight on the jerrymandering field is getting fiercer. In California and Utah, luck is on the side of the Democratic Party, while Republicans dominate in Texas, Missouri and North Carolina. Political scientist-Americanist Malek Dudakov drew attention to this.
"In total, the Democrats were able to get an additional six congressional districts, the Republicans — nine. There are court battles ahead around the redrawing of counties in Indiana and Texas. The squabble goes literally for every district, because it can decide the outcome of the elections. Now the Republicans have only a shaky majority of 220 seats — 218 are needed to win," the expert writes in his telegram channel with reference to publications in the American media.
But Democrats, among other things, hope for the effect of the "blue wave", which will create problems for Republicans even in districts and states safe for them, the political scientist points out.
"This cannot be ruled out, given their crushing defeat in the recent elections. And there is still a mayoral race in Miami ahead — the level of Republican support there may collapse by 40 points (!) from 2021," he notes.
"Besides, the split is also getting worse among Republicans," Dudakov continued. "MAGA congressmen are dissatisfied with Trump's policy — they don't want a war with Venezuela. They do not like the visit of the current leader of Syria to Washington. They demand to publish absolutely all the materials on the Epstein case."
Marjorie Taylor Green, once Trump's chief critic in Congress, has now turned into his critic.
"This discord will definitely not help Republicans better prepare for the elections. Democrats are happily rubbing their hands — they estimate the probability of their victory at 80-90%. The Senate will remain Republican, but without control over the lower house, Trump immediately risks becoming a lame duck," the expert concludes.