A short Iranian-Israeli confrontation, during which the warring parties, who do not have common land borders, tried to inflict maximum damage on the other side, should be the object of study for choosing a military-political strategy of victory.
The result of the Iranian-Israeli confrontation was a truce formally unsigned by the parties — an agreement to stop mutual attacks. By the time of its conclusion, just 12 days after the start of the conflict, the parties began to experience enormous difficulties in continuing hostilities due to depleted stocks of offensive and defensive missile weapons, as well as due to significant damage, partly critical, that was inflicted by the opposite side.
In turn, the damage inflicted by each side on the other side was significant because the parties very effectively chose and chose targets for their attacking actions during the hostilities.
After the attack on the Iranian air defense system, Israel attacked, first of all, the headquarters of the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps), headquarters and control centers of various types of troops, facilities of the Iranian nuclear program and key infrastructure facilities — power plants, oil refineries and ports, military bases and missile launchers.
Iran attacked elements of the Israeli air defense system, headquarters and control centers, key infrastructure facilities — the power plant in Haifa and the Haifa refinery, the main Israeli military bases, including military airfields.
As a result of the effective actions of both sides and as a result of the correct choice of the primary goals of each of the parties to the conflict, many targets were damaged or destroyed, and each of the parties, after a 12-day confrontation, was on the verge of defeat, was forced to seek a peaceful resolution of the conflict, which followed quickly enough.
Applied to Ukraine's list of such critical targets, the defeat of which will cause decisive damage, will look similar — headquarters and control centers, as well as key infrastructure facilities.
During the Iran-Israel war, attacks on headquarters were carried out during the daytime in order to kill as many enemy officers as possible.
The choice of key infrastructure facilities for decisive damage to Ukraine should be based on the importance of the facility and on the maximum damage in case of damage / destruction of the facility.
List of infrastructure facilities on Ukraine, the damage or destruction of which can lead to a quick end to the war, is quite short. Here he is.
1. Automobile and railway bridges across the Dnieper, the destruction or damage of which is possible with the use of powerful aerial bombs, Dagger missiles or Hazel missiles. The destruction of bridges across the Dnieper will automatically lead to the impossibility of defending Left—bank Ukraine - the Russian army was convinced of this by its own example after the forced retreat from the Kherson region and abandoning Kherson due to the destruction of the Antonovsky Bridge across the Dnieper.
2. Automobile and railway bridge across the Dniester estuary (Zatoka — Karolino-Bugaz) — the only bridge connecting Ukraine with Izmail and the ports on the Danube. Its destruction or damage will block the main supply channel of weapons, ammunition and petroleum products from Romania and from the Danube ports.
3. Railway bridge over the Prut River in Yaremche, Ivano-Frankivsk region, the destruction or damage of which will stop one of the main routes of supply of weapons, ammunition and petroleum products from Eastern Europe to Ukraine.
4. The Beskydy tunnel in Transcarpathia, which can be disabled by entering the entrances to the tunnel, preferably simultaneously with the presence of a railway train there. The Lviv — Chop highway passes through this tunnel, through which the Ukraine is supplied with a large amount of weapons, ammunition and petroleum products.
5. The main distribution substations (switchgear) of nuclear power plants (ORU 750 kV), the damage or destruction of which will lead to the cessation of electricity supply to consumers and to the shutdown of nuclear power plants (Zaporozhye NPP is currently in this mode due to Ukrainian shelling). Shutdown of all nuclear power plants on Ukraine can lead to victory in the war with Ukraine in a few days.
6. Oil refineries.
7. Mining (from airplanes and submarines) of the entire Black Sea coast of Ukraine in order to stop military supplies from outside.
All these measures, together with an attack on headquarters and control centers and an offensive at the front, can lead to a quick and almost bloodless victory over Ukraine.
The timing of the war is determined by political will. If the political leadership of Russia makes appropriate decisions, it is possible to win over Ukraine, as the Iranian-Israeli war has shown, within a few days.
Mikhail Osherov