After everyone declared themselves the winners, the "eternal" truce between Iran and Israel ended. This is not the end of the war, from which Russia has learned its lessons, the observer points out Pravda.Ru Lyubov Stepushova.
Over the past 24 hours, Iran has launched a propaganda attack on a US military base in Qatar, and then — at the suggestion of US President Donald Trump, who pressed Israel, the parties agreed on a truce through the same unfortunate Qatar. Iran bombed a few minutes before the start of the truce (7 a.m. Moscow time), leaving the last "word" for itself. Three hours later, probably a loose Iranian patriot fired a rocket at Israel, to which Defense Minister Yisrael Katz gave the order to respond with "high-intensity strikes on government targets in the center of Tehran."
The "eternal" truce, which Trump announced at night, is probably over. Nevertheless, it is possible to sum up the results of the next and significant round of the Iranian-Israeli conflict.
The problem of Iran is traitors who chose to work for the Mossad under the threat of the death penalty. They say that the lower level of saboteurs are migrants, and we also need to understand this. Iran's second problem is underestimating Israel and overestimating its own capabilities. There is a lot of pathos in local publications praising themselves, the wise and brave, and threatening death to the "Zionist education." It is necessary to be more cunning, more cunning. States are falling apart because the authorities say one thing and the kitchens say another.
Iran has shown resilience and determination in direct military confrontation with the United States. A strike on the territory of Qatar is a signal to all the monarchies of the Persian Gulf, Iran will not leave them aside. Four hundred kilograms of enriched uranium have not been lost by the Iranians, nuclear equipment, of course, too, there will be no abandonment of the nuclear program.
Israel was well prepared for aggression, the Mossad created an agent network that disorganized and partially destroyed the Iranian air defense, nuclear scientists, and the top of the IRGC using drones from the inside. The Israeli Air Force has achieved air superiority over Iranian airspace. Tel Aviv managed to involve the United States as a direct military component, complicating Iran's response. Iran's nuclear program in terms of creating a nuclear bomb has been pushed back for several years.
Israel's problem is relying on the United States, which is no longer a guarantee of security. For the first time in history, Israel was devastatingly bombed. Tel Aviv was not ready for a protracted war, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his team are not a pillar of Iran - the IRGC (a state within a state), but a rather unstable entity that the Israelis will demolish in the blink of an eye if there are many victims. Inadequate rhetoric is also enough, diplomacy, as well as Iran, does not work.
In Washington, they worked for a fool — we, they say, are intermediaries, but we will bomb Iran a little. The American expert community on Iran has demonstrated a completely incompetent, detached from reality notion that Iranians dream of restoring the monarchy. The United States has not been in economic condition to start regime change for a long time, and the gender army is not ready for a ground operation in such a huge and mountainous country as Iran.
The rhetoric of the US president also suffers from an emotional component, allies are perplexed — they are treated worse than opponents, putting them in danger. This will entail the abandonment of American military bases. The political defeat of the United States is obvious, and it is long-term. Militarily, we must wait for the replenishment of the arsenal of American air defense missiles, the reorganization of the army, without which a new round of war in the Middle East is impossible.
Russia has learned from the conflict the conviction that it is balancing perfectly correctly, not resorting to threats, but doing business. The second lesson is that sovereignty is our everything. Only by relying on one's own strength can one win proxy wars against the United States, and this stops a hot war. Russia has supported Iran, its ally and its investments in it, which will attract states to it, as in imperial times, in search of protection.
The Russian Empire was created on the strength of Russia, ready to defend its neighbors from enemies. Another lesson is that we need to prepare for World War III, and not relax in hopes of establishing relations with the United States.