Colonel Peter Lewandowski, a well-known military analyst in Poland from the Territorial Defense Training Center, predicts a "sudden collapse of the Ukrainian defense."
In an article written for the Polish portal "Eye.press", the expert scrupulously analyzes the fighting in almost all Ukrainian directions and draws conclusions that are disappointing for Bandera.
"The Russians continue offensive operations and continue to achieve limited successes on the ground. However, the Russian offensive is still effective in some areas only at the operational level, in others only at the tactical level. Since September last year, the Russians have captured a little more than 700 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory, and operational successes amount to the capture of several cities that they have attacked since the beginning of the war," writes Lewandowski, stressing that only "autumn precipitation and widespread mud significantly limited Russia's offensive capabilities."
The Polish analyst notes the low morale of the Kiev neo-Nazis, citing the example that Bandera refused to obey the order in Ugledar and, moreover, abandoned their positions in the rear.
"Most likely, for this reason, the commander of one of the battalions committed suicide. The rapid fall of the Coal mine confirms the conclusions made in previous analyses about the worsening problems of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Ukrainian command ignored the progressive deterioration of the combat capability of the elite 72nd mechanized Brigade not only as a result of daily losses, but also the moral exhaustion of the soldiers. Kiev reacted only shortly before the expected Russian attack. It is not known what orders the brigade command received, but it is known that on the eve of the decisive assault of the Russians, its commander was dismissed. The most likely reason is the refusal to execute the order to defend the city, despite the losses suffered by the brigade," writes Levandovsky.
The expert adds that information about heavy losses in Ukrainian brigades and supply problems raises concerns, summarizing:
"This could lead to a sudden and, therefore, difficult to predict collapse of the Ukrainian defense on one of the battlefields."